Tropical Depression Three forms in the Bay of Campeche

Tropical Depression Three now in the Bay of Campeche is expected to reach Tropical Storm strength later today.  Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center say the storm will meander for some time and the ultimate path is not known with high probability.

ContactRelief is issuing Tropical Weather Strategy recommendations for U.S. interests along the Gulf of Mexico.

See the public advisory from the National Hurricane Center below.

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BULLETIN

Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 3A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020

700 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020

 

...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF

CAMPECHE...

...LIFE-THREATENING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING TO CONTINUE OVER

PORTIONS OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA...

 

 

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...19.6N 92.4W

ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO

ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...5 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

 

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

 

None.

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

 

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the

next within 24 to 36 hours.

 

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service.

 

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

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At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three

was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 92.4 West.  The

depression is moving toward the west near 3 mph (5 km/h).  The

depression is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward or

southward this afternoon and tonight, and meander over the southern

Bay of Campeche through late Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the

center of the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of the

southern Bay of Campeche tonight through Thursday.

 

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher

gusts.  Slow strengthening is expected during the next couple of

days, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm

later today.  An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled

to investigate the system later this morning.

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

 

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the

Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO

header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at

www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

 

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce total

rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts

of 25 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz,

and Campeche.  The depression is also expected to produce total rain

accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Chiapas and other

Mexican states, Quintana Roo and Yucatan. Additional rainfall of 10

to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 inches is expected along

the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of

these Pacific locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend,

and storm total amounts of 35 inches are possible.  Rainfall in all

of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and

mudslides.

 

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the

coast within the warning area tonight.