Watching Tropical Disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

The National Hurricane Center reports that a trough of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over the western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving generally northeastward. The chance of formation of a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days is estimated at 50%.